A lot is being written about the novel coronavirus but there is a lot of noise. Here I collect interesting parts.


Datagraver publishes daily graphs with log scale about countries.


It's hard to find references to models being used in the decision making. Here are some interesting ones I found:

Longer term modeling of covid19 in the UK

This paper explains that there likely will be a second bigger wave after the initial distancing. It suggests that ICU capacity can be kept using multiple periods of distancing which would stretch the process more than 18 months.

The Flattening the Coronavirus Curve Is Not Enough post explains that even with distancing the ICU capacity is almost certainly going to be insufficient. It advocates for drastically repurposing existing manufacturing capabilities in countries towards medical supplies.

This website allows you to run simulations for different approaches to COVID-19.

Second Order Effects